#On-chain metrics analysis Bitcoin: Two-week Relative Strength Index The two-w… · @fly_welinkBTC · TwKit

@fly_welinkBTC

#On-chain metrics analysis Bitcoin: Two-week Relative Strength Index The two-week RSI uses Wilder smoothing with 14 bi-weekly closing periods to filter out daily and weekly noise and provide a clearer view of macro buying and selling momentum; the upper and lower rails are obtained by regressing from historical RSI extreme values ​​and will slowly slope downward over time. Macroscopic kinetic energy state - Neutral kinetic energy The current two-week RSI is 52.14, with the dynamic lower/upper band at 32.93 and 84.07 respectively, approximately +19.21 points from the lower band. The 6-week/12-week average is approximately 53.59 and 52.40, with a change of approximately -0.14 this period (previous period 52.28, bi-weekly observation date 2026-10-22). The real-time BTC price is approximately $81,772 (Binance Spot). The proximity to the lower band indicates a significant release of downward momentum in the macro environment; true confirmation of the right side requires the RSI to stabilize and continue to rise. Sector Reference: RSI ≤ lower band + 2 indicates lower band resonance, approaching historical bear market bottom momentum support; RSI < 40 indicates macro oversold conditions; 40–70 indicates neutral momentum, awaiting a directional breakout; RSI > 70 indicates overheating at high levels, pay attention to momentum decay and distribution. Historical lows are often close to the dynamic lower band: 2015 approximately 36.90, 2019 approximately 38.03, 2022–23 approximately 34.19, and the current low of 2026-06-28 approximately 32.85. Touching the band indicates an improved risk-reward ratio, but the bottom may still fluctuate and consolidate for weeks to months; a more conservative approach is to observe whether the RSI stops making new lows and moves upward away from the lower band, while also considering spot demand, long-term holder costs, and global liquidity. A single touch of the band is not a definitive buy signal. This is for cyclical research only and does not constitute investment advice. More curated on-chain cyclical indicators Portal https://welinkbtc-onchainmain.xyz/ Let you understand cycles just like a professional analyst $BTC

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