Follow-up to this morning's priced-in question — here's the test I'm using thi… · @Eyescool · TwKit
@Eyescool
Follow-up to this morning's priced-in question — here's the test I'm using this week. A print only reprices a stock if it changes one of three things: 1. The guide — 2027 capex, not Q3 revenue. 2. The multiple — does the market pay more for the same growth? 3. The cash — does FCF confirm the earnings, or just the accounting? (Bloom last week: record revenue, -$181M FCF, stock sold off.) Wednesday is the test case: NiSource's GenCo numbers in the morning, Fed at 11am PT, then MSFT and GOOGL after the close. Same question all day: is the guide the surprise, or is the surprise already the base case? What are you watching Wednesday — the guide, the multiple, or the cash? #AIInfrastructure #Valuation
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